Notre Dame
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
25  Molly Seidel JR 19:33
203  Danielle Aragon JR 20:24
219  Emily Frydrych SR 20:27
413  Karen Lesiewicz SR 20:49
606  Katie Moran SR 21:05
615  Sydney Foreman FR 21:05
1,012  Taylor Driscoll SO 21:34
1,016  Sydni Meunier JR 21:34
National Rank #35 of 341
Great Lakes Region Rank #5 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 65.7%
Most Likely Finish 30th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 8.8%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 44.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Molly Seidel Danielle Aragon Emily Frydrych Karen Lesiewicz Katie Moran Sydney Foreman Taylor Driscoll Sydni Meunier
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 592 19:42 19:54 20:29 20:47 21:07 21:05 20:28 21:29
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 846 19:39 20:43 20:33 21:53 21:09 22:02 21:29
ACC Championships 10/31 681 19:39 20:15 20:25 20:45 20:53 21:31 21:33
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/14 711 19:32 20:16 20:30 20:42 21:18 21:27 21:37
NCAA Championship 11/22 741 19:20 21:09 20:17 20:36 20:59 22:20 21:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 65.7% 25.6 593 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.1 3.0 3.8 4.3 4.9 5.9 6.9 6.4 6.9 7.0 5.7
Region Championship 100% 5.9 185 0.3 4.8 15.4 23.5 22.2 17.1 9.4 5.1 1.9 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molly Seidel 100% 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.5 3.2 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.1 2.7 2.6 2.8 2.8
Danielle Aragon 66.0% 141.6 0.0
Emily Frydrych 65.9% 149.2
Karen Lesiewicz 65.7% 201.6
Katie Moran 65.7% 228.2
Sydney Foreman 65.7% 229.0
Taylor Driscoll 65.7% 249.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Molly Seidel 5.4 0.4 3.0 7.0 15.6 17.6 14.9 11.5 8.2 6.3 4.5 3.3 2.2 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Danielle Aragon 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 2.5 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.4 4.0 4.1 3.9
Emily Frydrych 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.4 3.6 3.3 3.5 3.9
Karen Lesiewicz 51.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5
Katie Moran 68.6
Sydney Foreman 69.4
Taylor Driscoll 96.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 4.8% 98.7% 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.1 4.7 3
4 15.4% 96.1% 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.2 0.6 0.6 14.8 4
5 23.5% 87.2% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.4 3.7 3.8 2.3 3.0 20.5 5
6 22.2% 73.8% 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.9 2.8 2.7 2.9 4.0 5.8 16.4 6
7 17.1% 51.5% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.3 2.0 1.7 2.3 8.3 8.8 7
8 9.4% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.2 0.2 8
9 5.1% 5.1 9
10 1.9% 1.9 10
11 0.3% 0.3 11
12 0.0% 0.0 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 65.7% 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.8 2.1 4.0 5.4 7.6 10.3 11.7 11.3 9.4 34.3 0.3 65.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Ohio State 84.5% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 82.3% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
BYU 42.7% 1.0 0.4
Princeton 19.9% 1.0 0.2
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Penn State 17.1% 1.0 0.2
Tulsa 7.4% 1.0 0.1
Bradley 4.7% 1.0 0.0
Virginia Tech 4.1% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Elon 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.1
Minimum 1.0
Maximum 8.0